Friday, November 23, 2007

The GOP is Yelling FIRE!

Andres Martinez is telling us that Tancredo and Kucinich are the only ones who are sincere in the immigration debate. Everyone else is just being theatrical. Is this something new? Aren't all politicians (especially those running for President) good actors?

Martinez says the scene will get played out in a nasty way. That has already started.

So the GOP has found a new cause. Their fanaticism is surely one way to get people riled up enough so they will go to the polls and "elect someone who will send all those illegals back to where they came from." Hysteria provokes movement.

As far as Democratic sincerity, their dance is a complicated one -- how to look fair when you aren't being fair. For Hillary to say that she "only lived" at the White House during her husbands tenure is a cop out. I'm surprised that no one has called her on it. Remember, it was during Clinton's second term that one of the harshest immigration bills made it through the Congress. The kind of person that Hillary is, do you think she stood there watching? And yes, Clinton was dealing with a Republican Congress at the time, but he was able to get his way in many other areas. Maybe immigration was either not important enough to him, or he saw it as politically expedient to kneel to the GOP - at least in this matter.

It's a shame that people's lives will be seriously affected by something that could just be a political sham.


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Stumped
A Washington Post Blog by Alex Martinez

Is Immigration This Year's Gay Marriage?

Q. My wife and I are two of maybe 100 Democrats in a county south of Atlanta. Our question is this: Will the Republicans be successful by making illegal immigration the gay marriage issue of this election?

A. I never believed Iraq would be the dominant issue in this presidential campaign, but I never would have guessed that it would be illegal immigration. And yet you may be right: Republicans seem to have seized upon illegal immigration this year's wedge issue.

It may be more accurate, however, to call autarky the dominant issue of 2008. You read it here first: After being stumped to come up with the one word to capture what's going on out there, and after checking with Merriam-Webster to make sure that the word does indeed mean economic independence, I hereby declare 2008 as the Autarky Election. How about it, Lou? The Autarky Party just might support Dobbs for president.

And the Democratic equivalent of Republican immigrant-bashing is free-trade-bashing. Even Hillary Clinton is distancing herself from her husband's robust record of promoting trade liberalization and economic interdependence. As much as she touts her experience as First Lady, when the subject turns to the North American Free Trade Agreement, Clinton's attitude seems to be, "Hey, I just lived there. It was his presidency."

Recent polling shows the economy surging on the list of issues voters care most about. But instead of Bill Clinton's 1992 slogan -- "It's the economy, stupid" -- the appropriate bumper sticker may be, "It's our economy, stupid." There is a post-9/11, post-Iraqi-quagmire mistrust of all things foreign.

But this anti-[insert foreign nation here] backlash has less to do with economic fundamentals than it does with deeper psychological anxieties. It's about the nostalgic pull of American isolationism, the yearning for an old-fashioned manufacturing economy, a longing for the time when you didn't hear any Spanish in places like Wisconsin. Trade and immigration have enriched this country like no other. But polls show that most Americans think anything foreign -- Chinese toys, Dubai investors, Mexican workers -- has been bad for the economy. And no politician this year, with the possible exception of Michael Bloomberg if he wades into the race as a third-party candidate, is likely to tell them otherwise.

Iowa, to choose a state at random, has prospered mightily from global trade. Don't expect the Democratic candidates to acknowledge this, however. They must all speak of trade as if it were an economic tsunami. Republicans, meanwhile, all have to line up to outdo each other in denouncing the workers who keep their lawns manicured, their children cared for and their restaurants open.

Setting aside the Tancredos and Kuciniches of the race, who are at least being sincere, there is a farcical nature to the pro-autarky posturing in both parties. Leading candidates in both parties know better. Hillary Clinton opposing the Korea Free Trade Agreement? Give me a break. John Edwards was a centrist pro-trade senator before he reinvented himself as a crazed populist presidential candidate. Among Republicans, Mitt Romney, Rudy Giuliani and Mike Huckabee may all be vulnerable in primaries because of their stances on illegal immigration -- perhaps because they have all governed in the real world, where these workers are needed.

Republicans may frame the issue in terms of illegal immigration, while Democrats prefer to discuss "fair trade." But they're both talking about the same thing: autarky. On the campaign trail or in a 90-minute debate, trade and immigration can seem like separate issues. But they are part of the same theme for many voters and in the discourse of talk radio.

But back to your question: Yes, Republicans may stand to gain the most from this yearning for autarky. The theory was that the GOP would agree to change the system because big business understands the imperative of legalizing the flow of needed labor. But the GOP's more important imperative is political, and illegal immigration is a powerful anti-Democrat weapon.

It is going to get ugly, I am afraid -- and very stupid.

By Andres Martinez | November 23, 2007; 12:00 AM ET

http://blog.washingtonpost.com/stumped/2007/11/is_immigration_this_years_gay_1.html

1 comment:

Anonymous said...

Wasn't that immigration bill in 1996 during an election year but still in Clinton's first term? Or were you talking about the law taking effect during Clinton's second term?

One of the worst parts of the bill was the deportation standard's move from suspension of deportation to cancellation of removal. Suspension of deportation required "extreme hardship" to the immigrant as well as his or her family, but cancellation of removal changed the standard to "extreme and unusual hardship" only to LPR or citizen immediate family members. Rep. Sheila Jackson Lee's Save America Comprehensive Immigration Reform Act would change the standard back to suspension of deportation.

Here is the House hearing on the bill and the President of AILA's testimony:

http://judiciary.house.gov/hearings.aspx?ID=188

http://judiciary.house.gov/media/pdfs/Kuck071108.pdf

C_D